Growth Without Overshoot

When a new technology grows faster than expected, planning assumptions for infrastructure, regulation, and industry strategy can quickly become outdated. Explore the mechanics of why adoption curves often surprise forecasters, using electric vehicles as the reference case. Compare supply-side constraints, consumer behavior, subsidies, charging networks, and second-order effects on power grids and automakers. Conclude with what governments and companies should do differently when forecasting fast-moving transitions.